Second World War
From Acw
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Third Reich Ascendant
The point at which ACW's history diverges from our own is in late 1942, when Messerschmit began large-scale production of the jet-powered Messerschmit Me262. Large numbers of these aircraft were made available to the Luftwaffe, which gave it the edge in Air superiority. Germany was still deprived of a decent bombing force, but the Allies were simply unable to compete with the speed of the German fighters.
Hiroshima and the Failure of Fat Man
The next divergence from real world politics occurs when Fat Man fails to detonate. Whilst the Allies are acknowledged as having nuclear capability, no one believes it to be a fool proof technology and the Germans believe the allies have run out of plutonium.
This allows the Japanese to stay in the war long enough for German production of Messerschmits to have an impact in Europe.