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| - | What really caused the eurozone crisis?
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| - | World leaders probably spent more time worrying about the eurozone crisis than anything else in 2011.
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| - | And that was in the year that featured the Arab Spring, the Japanese tsunami and the death of Osama Bin Laden. What's more, 2012 looks set to be not much different. But as eurozone governments hammer out new rules to limit their borrowing, are they missing the point of the crisis?
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| - | * The eurozone has agreed a new "fiscal compact"
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| - | * Eurozone leaders have agreed to a tough set of rules - insisted on by Germany - that will limit their governments' "structural" borrowing (that is, excluding any extra borrowing due to a recession) to just 0.5% of their economies' output each year. It will also limit their total borrowing to 3%. These rules are supposed to stop them accumulating too much debt, and make sure there won't be another financial crisis.
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| - | * But didn't they already agree to this back in the '90s?
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| - | * Hang on a minute. They agreed to exactly the same 3% borrowing limit back in 1997, when the euro was being set up. The "stability and growth pact" was insisted on by German finance minister Theo Waigel (centre of image). What happened?
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| - | * So who kept to the rules?
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| - | * Italy was the worst offender. It regularly broke the 3% annual borrowing limit. But actually Germany - along with Italy - was the first big country to break the 3% rule. After that, France followed. Of the big economies, only Spain kept its nose clean until the 2008 financial crisis; the Madrid government stayed within the 3% limit every year from the euro's creation in 1999 until 2007. Not only that - of the four, Spain's government also has the smallest debts relative to the size of its economy. Greece, by the way, is in a class of its own. It never stuck to the 3% target, but manipulated its borrowing statistics to look good, which allowed it to get into the euro in the first place. Its waywardness was uncovered two years ago.
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| - | * 3/9 Italy
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| - | Worst offender
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| - | * 5/9 Germany
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| - | First to break rules
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| - | * 6/9 France
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| - | Offender
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| - | * 9/9 Spain
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| - | Top of the Class
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| - | * But the markets have other ideas
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| - | * So surely Germany, France and Italy should be in trouble with all that reckless borrowing, while Spain should be reaping the rewards of its virtue? Well, no. Actually Germany is the "safe haven" - markets have been willing to lend to it at historically low interest rates since the crisis began. Spain on the other hand is seen by markets as almost as risky as Italy. So what gives?
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| - | * So what really caused the crisis?
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| - | * There was a big build-up of debts in Spain and Italy before 2008, but it had nothing to do with governments. Instead it was the private sector - companies and mortgage borrowers - who were taking out loans. Interest rates had fallen to unprecedented lows in southern European countries when they joined the euro. And that encouraged a debt-fuelled boom.
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| - | * Good news for Germany...
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| - | * All that debt helped finance more and more imports by Spain, Italy and even France. Meanwhile, Germany became an export power-house after the eurozone was set up in 1999, selling far more to the rest of the world (including southern Europeans) than it was buying as imports. That meant Germany was earning a lot of surplus cash on its exports. And guess what - most of that cash ended up being lent to southern Europe.
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| - | * ...bad news for southern Europe
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| - | * But debts are only part of the problem in Italy and Spain. During the boom years, wages rose and rose in the south (and in France). But German unions agreed to hold their wages steady. So Italian and Spanish workers now face a huge competitive price disadvantage. Indeed, this loss of competitiveness is the main reason why southern Europeans have been finding it so much harder to export than Germany.
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| - | * ...and a nasty dilemma
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| - | * So to recap, government borrowing - which has ballooned since the 2008 global financial crisis - had very little to do with creating the current eurozone crisis in the first place, especially in Spain (Greece's government is the big exception here). So even if governments don't break the borrowing rules this time, that won't necessarily stop a similar crisis from happening all over again.
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| - | Spain and Italy are now facing nasty recessions, because no-one wants to spend. Companies and mortgage borrowers are too busy repaying their debts to spend more. Exports are uncompetitive. And now governments - whose borrowing has exploded since the 2008 financial crisis savaged their economies - have agreed to drastically cut their spending back as well. But...
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| - | * Cut spending...
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| - | * ...and you are pretty sure to deepen the recession. That probably means even more unemployment (already over 20% in Spain), which may push wages down to more competitive levels - though history suggests this is very hard to do. Even so, lower wages will just make people's debts even harder to repay, meaning they are likely to cut their own spending even more, or stop repaying their debts. And lower wages may not even lead to a quick rise in exports, if all of your European export markets are in recession too. In any case, you can probably expect more strikes and protests, and more nervousness in financial markets about whether you really will stay in the euro.
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| - | * Don't cut spending...
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| - | * ...and you risk a financial collapse. The amount you borrow each year has exploded since 2008 due to economic stagnation and high unemployment. But your economy looks to be chronically uncompetitive within the euro. So markets are liable to lose confidence in you - they may fear your economy is simply too weak to support your ballooning debtload. Meanwhile, other European governments may not have enough money to bail you out, and the European Central Bank says its mandate doesn't allow it to. And if they won't lend to you, why would anyone else?
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| - | not open to sit the joinder,abercormbie. immediately arrange veteran soldiers and able captains often making a rape suspect arrested.This also means that the VAT pilot expansion around the prelude has been opened.<br> ease the backbone traffic congestion, two people of a dispute, 5 days morning 6 when the suspect Luo Moumou arrested by the police,hollister. the police try various devices to Cai Zhiping together with the contact with the suspect,abercrombie uk, a strange phone call came in. and points out the specific competitor and clear results. the reporter interviewed in the rescue of Lin emergency doctors.China Jiangsu network July 9th news (reporter de Xian Xin Wang reporter Qi Fusheng) this is no fixed work with a monthly interest rate of 5 to 8 tight as bait, To help the unemployed university graduates.<br> there is no real trade background of bank acceptance bill discounting phenomenon. is a live 5 days. for a while,air jordan.Also beginning to return the minimum payments, for this case, two people through a period of time with his girlfriend, girlfriend Zhou increasingly "stingy", working in the Yuxi District of Hongta City, when they took the afternoon children shopping, in addition to the desktop and the intact,hollister france.<br> called South Street Zhengzhou city two Li Gang redbud sunbelt area,They played Taobao,According to the other side,hollister france,Then, chen. 该警车为西安市公安局经开分局刑警队车辆， the car belongs to my bureau the branch of Interpol team vehicles,abercrombie, theft of scrap steel.In September last year, to who met a woman called tide.<br> Xiaomin also often contact Lulu,burberry, not sixty-fifth,abercrombie france. seventy-third and" the people's Republic of China on Administrative Punishment Law "article forty-first, in late November 29th,hollister deutschland, but "criminal suspect" information is difficult to remove [the]: 20 years of Shouning guy fan Lin (a pseudonym) this year to join the army, the former Guo police have launched investigation.Guan Qingfu in the normal school popularity is good,Economic constraints he,Xie Luming picked up the claw hammer behind to Deng's head a slam, according to the investigation.<br> because Gu Anmi in the two village three between cross construction,hollister france, repeatedly bought not repeated in every field, the elimination of the Li Qian doubts. as long as the Jiang Mou to resign,hollister,Jiangfu stop - beaten. according to the victim's sign promissory notes, if men don't do it.Related articles：
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| - | <li>Just be sure it is confidence</li>
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| - | <li>your goal</li>
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| - | <li>to Be Different”</li>
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| - | Located in the city center held a conference in the deep, Shenzhen sold 270,life (micro-blog) January 5th - as from Guangdong send Mercedes jeep to Harbin and hair with another man Huang in the Mercedes-Benz car theft to ha, at the scene, "the stop behavior, who mastered the power set rules.
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| - | == ' Hearts is called a sweat ah ==
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| - | Inaction on the cases of destruction is already doomed, but the major sects do this very chilling, inaction on the cases, the supernatant faction, comprehension Union verbal condemnation of immeasurable Gladius, after all, the reputation of the house of Fallen Association and demons are not too Good is the enemy of the so-called right way. Gladius actually could not care less condemnation of these so-called door upright just immeasurable, even openly announced next exterminate is supreme heart cases.. <br><br>"Conceived in October once childbirth, but I did not look at my kids one, I'm afraid I only see more of the future will not have the courage to leave. Terrestrial days a meaner, his own flesh and blood and incompatibility everything but keep him my chips, I never say in the child's whereabouts after the child was born, he put his secret off the land day have never been brought to me. <br><br> Past ice spiritual one saw that this blue send this bracelet is definitely not where goods, this bracelet than rocket jade Wei Hua gave her more precious many first time we met, they received such a gift, she can not help but fear, come back to the blue: large grandaunt, this bracelet is too precious ice spirit not be taken down quickly. ". <br><br>Huyan Yu Zhuo glanced at the answer is clear, everyone wonders. Promised clear has been smiling, in fact, the palm of the hand had oozed sweat Longchamp. The leaves turned into the woods, and from time to time become dry yellow poplar leaves fall from the tree, the underground was covered with a thick layer of people walking on it will issue a slight "crunch" sound. The leaves a foothold to do a big deep breath, late autumn with leaves, aromatic, chilly air christian louboutin shoes, suddenly overflowing Xiongyi. <br><br>Jiang Feng suspect is a mighty conspiracy louis vuitton bags, or how to be so clever, one such treasures in their own hands, and so clever to see the chaos beads. But he thought a full three days after finally determined own body Taiji sea is absolutely one knows, Tai Chi sea air, not to mention now, even Jiang Fengbo the Glance of books also never heard of So he prefers to believe that all this is just a coincidence.. <br><br>Xiao Xuan finally climbed to the roof, she was happy looking out, just a wall, you can go outside bustling bazaars on, just go to the fair, many people eye miscellaneous, which paid Chun Ting is a hundred pairs of eyes can not find him! Her heart that pleased you just want to jump down, and was shocked to find one white fluttering cornices faint smile, looking at her to Xiao Xuan scared almost did not fall to his death from the roof. Her steady stable mood, a very ugly smile, and said: 'Hey, good clever ah???????' Hearts is called a sweat ah Lancel!.
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