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Italy has moved to centre stage in the eurozone debt crisis.
 
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While Greece generated a lot of noise, it is now seen as a sideshow.
 
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Greece's debt problems are already widely known and the immediate consequences of a Greek default largely anticipated.
 
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Moreover, the size of the Greek economy is small enough that the direct damage, if Greece stopped paying its debts, should be quite manageable for the eurozone.
 
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Instead, the big fear is "contagion" - that a Greek default could trigger a financial catastrophe for other, much bigger economies - in particular Italy and Spain.
 
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And it seems it is Italy that is now seen as the lead candidate for that contagion. But why is this?
 
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Prudent Italy?
 
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According to Germany's Chancellor, Angela Merkel, "Italy has great economic strength, but Italy does also have a very high level of debt and that has to be reduced in a credible way in the years ahead."
 
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As with Greece, she and other eurozone leaders believe the solution is more government austerity - spending cuts and tax rises - by Rome.
 
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However, some economists might disagree with her assessment.
 
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The Italian government's debt, at 118% of GDP (annual economic output) is certainly high, even by European standards.
 
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But dig a little deeper, and the picture changes.
 
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Unlike their counterparts in Spain or the Irish Republic, ordinary Italians have not run up huge mortgages, and generally have very little debt.
 
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That means that according to the Bank of International Settlements Italy as a country - not just a government - is not actually terribly indebted compared with other big economies such as France, Canada or the UK.
 
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Continue reading the main story
 
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Crisis jargon buster
 
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Use the dropdown for easy-to-understand explanations of key financial terms:
 
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GDP
 
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GDP
 
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Gross domestic product. A measure of economic activity in a country, namely of all the services and goods produced in a year. There are three main ways of calculating GDP - through output, through income and through expenditure.
 
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Glossary in full
 
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Moreover, the large debts of the Italian government are nothing new. It has got by just fine with a debt ratio over 100% of its GDP ever since 1991.
 

Current revision as of 08:05, 30 July 2021

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