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What really caused the eurozone crisis?

World leaders probably spent more time worrying about the eurozone crisis than anything else in 2011.

And that was in the year that featured the Arab Spring, the Japanese tsunami and the death of Osama Bin Laden. What's more, 2012 looks set to be not much different. But as eurozone governments hammer out new rules to limit their borrowing, are they missing the point of the crisis?

    * The eurozone has agreed a new "fiscal compact"
    * Eurozone leaders have agreed to a tough set of rules - insisted on by Germany - that will limit their governments' "structural" borrowing (that is, excluding any extra borrowing due to a recession) to just 0.5% of their economies' output each year. It will also limit their total borrowing to 3%. These rules are supposed to stop them accumulating too much debt, and make sure there won't be another financial crisis.
    * But didn't they already agree to this back in the '90s?
    * Hang on a minute. They agreed to exactly the same 3% borrowing limit back in 1997, when the euro was being set up. The "stability and growth pact" was insisted on by German finance minister Theo Waigel (centre of image). What happened?
    * So who kept to the rules?
    * Italy was the worst offender. It regularly broke the 3% annual borrowing limit. But actually Germany - along with Italy - was the first big country to break the 3% rule. After that, France followed. Of the big economies, only Spain kept its nose clean until the 2008 financial crisis; the Madrid government stayed within the 3% limit every year from the euro's creation in 1999 until 2007. Not only that - of the four, Spain's government also has the smallest debts relative to the size of its economy. Greece, by the way, is in a class of its own. It never stuck to the 3% target, but manipulated its borrowing statistics to look good, which allowed it to get into the euro in the first place. Its waywardness was uncovered two years ago.
    * 3/9 Italy
      Worst offender
    * 5/9 Germany
      First to break rules
    * 6/9 France
      Offender
    * 9/9 Spain
      Top of the Class
    * But the markets have other ideas
    * So surely Germany, France and Italy should be in trouble with all that reckless borrowing, while Spain should be reaping the rewards of its virtue? Well, no. Actually Germany is the "safe haven" - markets have been willing to lend to it at historically low interest rates since the crisis began. Spain on the other hand is seen by markets as almost as risky as Italy. So what gives?
    * So what really caused the crisis?
    * There was a big build-up of debts in Spain and Italy before 2008, but it had nothing to do with governments. Instead it was the private sector - companies and mortgage borrowers - who were taking out loans. Interest rates had fallen to unprecedented lows in southern European countries when they joined the euro. And that encouraged a debt-fuelled boom.
    * Good news for Germany...
    * All that debt helped finance more and more imports by Spain, Italy and even France. Meanwhile, Germany became an export power-house after the eurozone was set up in 1999, selling far more to the rest of the world (including southern Europeans) than it was buying as imports. That meant Germany was earning a lot of surplus cash on its exports. And guess what - most of that cash ended up being lent to southern Europe.
    * ...bad news for southern Europe
    * But debts are only part of the problem in Italy and Spain. During the boom years, wages rose and rose in the south (and in France). But German unions agreed to hold their wages steady. So Italian and Spanish workers now face a huge competitive price disadvantage. Indeed, this loss of competitiveness is the main reason why southern Europeans have been finding it so much harder to export than Germany.
    * ...and a nasty dilemma
    * So to recap, government borrowing - which has ballooned since the 2008 global financial crisis - had very little to do with creating the current eurozone crisis in the first place, especially in Spain (Greece's government is the big exception here). So even if governments don't break the borrowing rules this time, that won't necessarily stop a similar crisis from happening all over again.

      Spain and Italy are now facing nasty recessions, because no-one wants to spend. Companies and mortgage borrowers are too busy repaying their debts to spend more. Exports are uncompetitive. And now governments - whose borrowing has exploded since the 2008 financial crisis savaged their economies - have agreed to drastically cut their spending back as well. But...
    * Cut spending...
    * ...and you are pretty sure to deepen the recession. That probably means even more unemployment (already over 20% in Spain), which may push wages down to more competitive levels - though history suggests this is very hard to do. Even so, lower wages will just make people's debts even harder to repay, meaning they are likely to cut their own spending even more, or stop repaying their debts. And lower wages may not even lead to a quick rise in exports, if all of your European export markets are in recession too. In any case, you can probably expect more strikes and protests, and more nervousness in financial markets about whether you really will stay in the euro.
    * Don't cut spending...
    * ...and you risk a financial collapse. The amount you borrow each year has exploded since 2008 due to economic stagnation and high unemployment. But your economy looks to be chronically uncompetitive within the euro. So markets are liable to lose confidence in you - they may fear your economy is simply too weak to support your ballooning debtload. Meanwhile, other European governments may not have enough money to bail you out, and the European Central Bank says its mandate doesn't allow it to. And if they won't lend to you, why would anyone else?

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......  Just  sitting on the shore  ,watching  a  catkin,  traveled back to  seven years ago  ...  ...  Beautiful encounter  everyone in life  will  encounter  one person  at a time  ,touched the hearts  that  long  .<br>..  ...  That  June afternoon  ,the sun  shines into the  office  through the window  ,the window  leaves also  hung his head,  as if to  go to sleep  .Yuqing  idly  sit by the side of the computer  ,she  just learned to  surf the Internet  ,I feel pretty  fresh  .<br>Because  likes English  ,she entered a  Yahoo!  Chat room  ,found  draped  words  .Occasionally  she  had a  name  to say    Hi    ,mercurial vapor pas cher,the man  quickly  replied to her  words  .Two people  chat in English again  ,he  asked her name  ,she said  you guessed it  ,then she  tells him a story  ,telling  a lot,  she asked him  what is,  he says he  is a sailing&nbsp  ;boy  ,wearing glasses  ,like  reading books  .<br>He was  at the other end of the earth  ,and  his hometown  in the north,  is a winter  snow covered  place  ,so he  likes  snow  .But  has been away from home for  several years  ,now the winter  he  dared not come back  ,because it is too cold  .<br>Time passed quickly  ,louboutin,not how long  work  time arrives,  they  say  goodbye  .After several  days  ,every  lunch time  they  would like  the Internet,  talk with each other  about  the  topic  not to the point  ,but she  still  didn  everything he want to know  .<br>One day,  she and her colleagues  playing together,  suddenly received  a strange  phone call  .A phone call from  her gentle words  ,he  offer  house  ,tell their own  online  name  ,and tells her that  he called    dust  .<br>I don  ,because  the phone  ,let  her heart  some acceleration  ,the soft  bass  like rain  soaked  her mind  .From then on  ,every day they will  meet,  will be able to  talk  ,if which day  can not get on the Internet  ,he or she  will  write to tell  each other  .<br>Although  no one  say  words like  love  ,but  love  seeds have been  secretly planted  ...  ...  His songs  are very good  ,by  Mike that he  gave her  to sing  many  songs  ,each time she  would  burst into tears  .<br>,supra..  ...  Every day  ,she began to  miss  him  ,sometimes  online that  end  ,she  can hear  him sad  voice  ,just  two  people  with great care  to avoid  speak their mind  that look forward to  .Day into  January,  January  into  a year  .<br>..  ...  It is in this  disguise  and missing  the days  passed  four years  ,.Finally one day  ,he wrote her  a  message  ,telling her  he quickly  returned home  ,asked her if she  wanted to see him  ,if you want  in the X  month X  day  to Beijing  .<br>Despite being  in the bottom of my heart  think  there is such a day  ,but  when the moment  finally  comes,  she is  nervous  .There was  a sense of fear  ,what  is fear?  She doesn  ...  ...  She asked him  ,miss each other better  ,you are going to  meet or  to  miss  ?He said  :I wanted both  .<br>..  ...  Rain  is still  some hesitation  ,scarpe hogan,one day  when they  met  again  on the net  ,she asked  :  why should I  go to  see you in Beijing  ?Give me a reason  .  He said  :  because I wanted to see you  .<br>  She asked  :  have you  ever dream of me  ?  He replied  :  Angel  ,&nbsp  ;hundreds&nbsp  ;of&nbsp  ;times    ...  ...  Finally she  decided to go to  see him  ,because in  her  heart has been  an  unsolved  knot  ,she hopes that she can  hear  the answer he gave  .<br>In those days,  her mind  is always  the  word  :See&nbsp  ;you&nbsp  ,moncler;in&nbsp  ;Beijing  .To  love  when  the seed of love  quietly  plant  ,even  the lightest  one  duty  ,will  let the seeds  germinate,  tenaciously  drilled on the ground  ,supra shoes.<br>When the plane  in the air  through  ,she sat at the window  watching  the clouds  in the sun  emits  bright lights  ,abercrombie,such as snow-capped mountains as  fast,  heart also  raced,  moved closer to him,  the  dream in  a shadowy figure  to appear  in front of it,  to see  his  moment  will be  how  a scene  ?He  spread out his arms to embrace  me  ?The plane  landed  with the crowd  ,she  walked out of the airport,  gaze at the  airport  crowd  looking for  arms  ,saw many  flowers  ,but  not  in the photo  face  .<br>He will come to meet  her  ?She  walked  in  ,while the  crowd  at the exit of the  search  ,she  finally saw the  face  !He  stood there  with arms folded  ,seemed not to see  her  ,she  darted  forward,  finally  he turned his eyes to the  side  ,she smiled and  said hello to  forward  .<br>He is  like a gentleman  to say  hello  ,and then find  the car  .While waiting for the bus  ,she  always  smiled  shyly  down  ,his hands  clenched  package  ,long hair  was  spread  ,blocked her  face  ,black and white  vertical stripes  fell on her  white  skirt  .<br>He stood  beside her  ,at first  did not speak  ,then  he stretched out his hand  and  pressed  her shoulder  ,and said:   is it right?  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The car  through the crowded streets  ,then stopped  ,when she was  he led  the Summer Palace to  the front door,  she found  the answer  .<br>The the Summer Palace  and south of the  garden  is different,  do not seem to  think so  beautiful  ,ancient  path  ,less  delicate  and  beautiful  ,playing for a while,  and together they  sat down by the lake  .<br>He held her hand  ,fingers gently  in her hand  to write  her name  :  ,again and again,  he seems to  be  all the  feelings  are poured in  those two words  ,it seems  cans  not in the dream  .Don  know he  really  missed  her  ,just  feel  the gentle  strokes  ,in  thought  .<br>She looked at  his profile  ,he  looked at  the lake  ,some  misty  eyes  .  May I ask  you a question  ,moncler?This  dust  .  Her question  seemed to  him for a while  back to reality  ,he said  ,  OK,  you  ask me  .<br>    I  don  have  half a year to  suddenly disappear  ?I thought about the problem  for a long time  ,always want to hear  your answer  .    Because I am  wrong  ,louboutin pas cher,I want to let myself  not to think about you  ,so  I did  .<br>I gave  her  half a year  after half a year  ,if  my heart  still think about you  ,I will give up  this fight  .But  after half a year  ,I still  can not let you go  ,I think,  to go along with it  ,there is no  right or wrong  .<br>So I  decided to come to  see you  .    Then you  lost  half a year  what really happened  ?Can you tell me  ?    Time for  me is  the most painful when  ,in order to  find peace of mind,  I began to  believe in jesus  .<br>I desperately tried to  keep yourself  busy  ,to  cool themselves,  let  myself forget  .    Why  believe in Jesus  ?You are  always  not to believe in God  ?    I want  the heart has  to  ,but  when I  see the    desert    ,I think that people  really have  fate  ,life all  suffering is  you should  suffer  ,.<br>  Because of this  word,  her tears  down  a  nasty  brush  .  Also includes  the hardship of missing  ?    Well  ,it  a part of life  .  ...  ...  Time flies  ,there are a couple of hours  ,they will  face a short  reunion  after the parting  .<br>From the Summer Palace  ,he  took her  to go  for  each bought  ice Tang Hulu  ,two  child  on the way  such as  eating  ,chatting,  laughing  .He asked  :  is it right?  Hungry  ?We go to eat  roast duck  ?  She nodded  ,  yes  ,I also  like to eat  Beijing roast duck  .<br>  On their way  to find a    poly  Ford    Hotel  ,little  duck  ,she watched him  carefully  pick up  cakes  ,roast duck  sauce  packets  ,coated  ,put  onion  and cucumber  ,then  handed it to her  ,  ,here  should be in the country is the  most  delicious  .<br>  The moment  she felt herself  into a beautiful  princess  ,and her  prince  is  take care of  himself  .She  moved  to take over  a bite  ,the smell is  seeping into  the heart  ...  ...  There are  two hours  she would  seize the opportunity to  leave  ,after dinner  ,they  hurried to the airport  .<br>In the waiting  hall  ,she  was  away  sugar fried chestnut  ,he ate two  ,see  more and more people,  he says that we are  looking for a place to  sit down  .Find a  quiet corner  ,their four  eyes  ,tears  blurred her eyes  again  ,he put his hand  over  her  ,gently  on her forehead  and  cheek  kiss,  he  did  so  holy,  seem to want to  in her face  always  engraved with  his name  .<br>He  comforts her to say  :  don  ,you are a good  take care  ...  ...    When the tears  like  rain cat and dog  swept  down,  he  gently picked up  her head  ,kissed  her tears  ,his  eyes  welled  tears  also  ,outlet hogan,started  singing softly  :  I will always love you  .<br>..  ...    Finally,  his voice  choked up  ,she  stretched out his hand  ,touched his face  ,  don  .I want you  forever engraved in  my heart  .  ,  he said  ,  who said I cry  .I am  never cries  .  This  sentence she  chuckled  ,he  took the opportunity to  say  :  Oh  ,look at  you  ,like a  child  ,sometimes cry,  a  laugh  ,go and  wash your face  ,I can  see you  cry and leave  .<br>Related articles:
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Libya was declared "liberated " by the Transitional National Council (TNC) three days after Gaddafi was arrested and killed on Oct. 20, 2011. But local media reported that there were more than 1,000 pro-Gaddafi militiamen still operating in Bani Walid.