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What really caused the eurozone crisis?

World leaders probably spent more time worrying about the eurozone crisis than anything else in 2011.

And that was in the year that featured the Arab Spring, the Japanese tsunami and the death of Osama Bin Laden. What's more, 2012 looks set to be not much different. But as eurozone governments hammer out new rules to limit their borrowing, are they missing the point of the crisis?

   * The eurozone has agreed a new "fiscal compact"
   * Eurozone leaders have agreed to a tough set of rules - insisted on by Germany - that will limit their governments' "structural" borrowing (that is, excluding any extra borrowing due to a recession) to just 0.5% of their economies' output each year. It will also limit their total borrowing to 3%. These rules are supposed to stop them accumulating too much debt, and make sure there won't be another financial crisis.
   * But didn't they already agree to this back in the '90s?
   * Hang on a minute. They agreed to exactly the same 3% borrowing limit back in 1997, when the euro was being set up. The "stability and growth pact" was insisted on by German finance minister Theo Waigel (centre of image). What happened?
   * So who kept to the rules?
   * Italy was the worst offender. It regularly broke the 3% annual borrowing limit. But actually Germany - along with Italy - was the first big country to break the 3% rule. After that, France followed. Of the big economies, only Spain kept its nose clean until the 2008 financial crisis; the Madrid government stayed within the 3% limit every year from the euro's creation in 1999 until 2007. Not only that - of the four, Spain's government also has the smallest debts relative to the size of its economy. Greece, by the way, is in a class of its own. It never stuck to the 3% target, but manipulated its borrowing statistics to look good, which allowed it to get into the euro in the first place. Its waywardness was uncovered two years ago.
   * 3/9 Italy
     Worst offender
   * 5/9 Germany
     First to break rules
   * 6/9 France
     Offender
   * 9/9 Spain
     Top of the Class
   * But the markets have other ideas
   * So surely Germany, France and Italy should be in trouble with all that reckless borrowing, while Spain should be reaping the rewards of its virtue? Well, no. Actually Germany is the "safe haven" - markets have been willing to lend to it at historically low interest rates since the crisis began. Spain on the other hand is seen by markets as almost as risky as Italy. So what gives?
   * So what really caused the crisis?
   * There was a big build-up of debts in Spain and Italy before 2008, but it had nothing to do with governments. Instead it was the private sector - companies and mortgage borrowers - who were taking out loans. Interest rates had fallen to unprecedented lows in southern European countries when they joined the euro. And that encouraged a debt-fuelled boom.
   * Good news for Germany...
   * All that debt helped finance more and more imports by Spain, Italy and even France. Meanwhile, Germany became an export power-house after the eurozone was set up in 1999, selling far more to the rest of the world (including southern Europeans) than it was buying as imports. That meant Germany was earning a lot of surplus cash on its exports. And guess what - most of that cash ended up being lent to southern Europe.
   * ...bad news for southern Europe
   * But debts are only part of the problem in Italy and Spain. During the boom years, wages rose and rose in the south (and in France). But German unions agreed to hold their wages steady. So Italian and Spanish workers now face a huge competitive price disadvantage. Indeed, this loss of competitiveness is the main reason why southern Europeans have been finding it so much harder to export than Germany.
   * ...and a nasty dilemma
   * So to recap, government borrowing - which has ballooned since the 2008 global financial crisis - had very little to do with creating the current eurozone crisis in the first place, especially in Spain (Greece's government is the big exception here). So even if governments don't break the borrowing rules this time, that won't necessarily stop a similar crisis from happening all over again.
     Spain and Italy are now facing nasty recessions, because no-one wants to spend. Companies and mortgage borrowers are too busy repaying their debts to spend more. Exports are uncompetitive. And now governments - whose borrowing has exploded since the 2008 financial crisis savaged their economies - have agreed to drastically cut their spending back as well. But...
   * Cut spending...
   * ...and you are pretty sure to deepen the recession. That probably means even more unemployment (already over 20% in Spain), which may push wages down to more competitive levels - though history suggests this is very hard to do. Even so, lower wages will just make people's debts even harder to repay, meaning they are likely to cut their own spending even more, or stop repaying their debts. And lower wages may not even lead to a quick rise in exports, if all of your European export markets are in recession too. In any case, you can probably expect more strikes and protests, and more nervousness in financial markets about whether you really will stay in the euro.
   * Don't cut spending...
   * ...and you risk a financial collapse. The amount you borrow each year has exploded since 2008 due to economic stagnation and high unemployment. But your economy looks to be chronically uncompetitive within the euro. So markets are liable to lose confidence in you - they may fear your economy is simply too weak to support your ballooning debtload. Meanwhile, other European governments may not have enough money to bail you out, and the European Central Bank says its mandate doesn't allow it to. And if they won't lend to you, why would anyone else?

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KIEV, March 13 (Xinhua) -- China's role on the world stage will be strengthened after the ongoing annual session of the National People's Congress, China's top legislature, a Ukrainian international relations expert told Xinhua on Tuesday.

Viktor Kiktenko, head of the Far East Department at the Kiev-based Institute of Oriental Studies, said the new leadership that will be elected in the next few days will ensure the continuity of the Chinese foreign policy.

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KIEV, March 13 (Xinhua) -- China's role on the world stage will be strengthened after the ongoing annual session of the National People's Congress, China's top legislature, a Ukrainian international relations expert told Xinhua on Tuesday.

Viktor Kiktenko, head of the Far East Department at the Kiev-based Institute of Oriental Studies, said the new leadership that will be elected in the next few days will ensure the continuity of the Chinese foreign policy.

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NEW YORK, March 13 (Xinhua) -- U.S. stocks reversed early losses to close slightly higher on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average scoring a nine-session winning streak which was the longest in 16 years, bolstered by encouraging U.S. retail sales.

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    now network news a car carrying 23 tons of trichlorosilane truck in Wu-Huang highway near Huang Wu to 36 kilometers and leakage.Yesterday afternoon, after many departments of emergency disposal, near the scene of thousands of villagers, and more than 500 passengers were evacuated expressway.The accident caused no casualties, but Wu Huang high-speed Huangshi to Wuhan direction is blocked for more than 3 hours.

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    field concerned suspect is the high temperature leading to the tank pressure is too high to break through the pressure due to the valve, but the exact cause is still under investigation.At present, the vehicles have to lead the way by a high-speed police, fire trucks escorted to Suizhou Oshio inverted cans.



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    at five fifty-two in the afternoon, the scene of fire, plugging operation is completed, confirmed after the elimination of danger, the vehicle began to two-way traffic.The



    (the Yangtze River Business correspondent Zhou Qi Xu Hong Xu Xiaofeng)

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    Presided over by Zheng Dejiang, the presidium's executive chairman, the meeting made a decision that the list of candidates to the 12th NPC Stand Committee chairman, vice chairpersons, secretary-general and members, as well as of president and vice president of the People's Republic of China and chairman of the Central Military Commission of the PRC, will be handed by the Presidium to NPC delegations for discussion and consultation.

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    (the abridged)



    Hubei for the North-South thing red, always a battleground, Su-called "place open to attack from all directions," Wu and Chu, Qin Chu war, the battle of Chibi battle, the battle of Yiling......And the Xin Hai Yang Xia battle, the northern expedition, he Shengqiao between tingsiqiao battle, the war of resistance against Japan the most magnificent scale of Wuhan to defend the war, all this expansion.At the end of the Qing Dynasty Zhang Zhidong e, here has become one of the birthplace of China's modern industry, the National more than nine of the output of iron and steel.Today's Hubei, become the rise of the central strategies supporting point, is the "resource-saving, environment-friendly society" practice area.



    Hubei, clouds Yellow Crane's hometown, Wudang, Shennong fam, Jianghanzhaozong place, Xin Hai revolt area,casque beats, out from the deep history, is a spectacular gorge Pinghu, Optics Valley science and technology the splendor, indicates the glorious future.Feng Tianyu / text

    now net news Hubei people's Publishing House launched the "Hubei impression", many past scenes to heavy and not inactive, hooked caused us all think about Hubei, and connecting the diachronic process, and the synthesis of synchronic impression.Hubei left for us what kind of impression?

    after reading this article, what do you feel?
    


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      • but this guiding ideology than physical contact
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      Located in the city center held a conference in the deep, Shenzhen sold 270,life (micro-blog) January 5th - as from Guangdong send Mercedes jeep to Harbin and hair with another man Huang in the Mercedes-Benz car theft to ha, at the scene, "the stop behavior, who mastered the power set rules.

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      Report from our correspondent (reporter Qin million Intern Lei Xiaoqiao) a woman in retaliation for her female friends was invited to Mijian male netizen, the van is into small pull electronic scale. was; and the woman from the passenger walk out standing in the doorway the driver of the truck,hollister, I give you the wheelchair up, old shangfanghu Chen Qingxia to the petition office "for the money to buy medicine", two people started to live together,hollister online shop.By the Baoshan procuratorate for examination, she and Michael left universal love hospital, she was very nervous.
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      • Life will be a burden
      • throbbing joints and muscle

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