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What really caused the eurozone crisis?
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World leaders probably spent more time worrying about the eurozone crisis than anything else in 2011.
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And that was in the year that featured the Arab Spring, the Japanese tsunami and the death of Osama Bin Laden. What's more, 2012 looks set to be not much different. But as eurozone governments hammer out new rules to limit their borrowing, are they missing the point of the crisis?
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    * The eurozone has agreed a new "fiscal compact"
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    * Eurozone leaders have agreed to a tough set of rules - insisted on by Germany - that will limit their governments' "structural" borrowing (that is, excluding any extra borrowing due to a recession) to just 0.5% of their economies' output each year. It will also limit their total borrowing to 3%. These rules are supposed to stop them accumulating too much debt, and make sure there won't be another financial crisis.
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    * But didn't they already agree to this back in the '90s?
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    * Hang on a minute. They agreed to exactly the same 3% borrowing limit back in 1997, when the euro was being set up. The "stability and growth pact" was insisted on by German finance minister Theo Waigel (centre of image). What happened?
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    * So who kept to the rules?
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    * Italy was the worst offender. It regularly broke the 3% annual borrowing limit. But actually Germany - along with Italy - was the first big country to break the 3% rule. After that, France followed. Of the big economies, only Spain kept its nose clean until the 2008 financial crisis; the Madrid government stayed within the 3% limit every year from the euro's creation in 1999 until 2007. Not only that - of the four, Spain's government also has the smallest debts relative to the size of its economy. Greece, by the way, is in a class of its own. It never stuck to the 3% target, but manipulated its borrowing statistics to look good, which allowed it to get into the euro in the first place. Its waywardness was uncovered two years ago.
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    * 3/9 Italy
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      Worst offender
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    * 5/9 Germany
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      First to break rules
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    * 6/9 France
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      Offender
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    * 9/9 Spain
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      Top of the Class
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    * But the markets have other ideas
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    * So surely Germany, France and Italy should be in trouble with all that reckless borrowing, while Spain should be reaping the rewards of its virtue? Well, no. Actually Germany is the "safe haven" - markets have been willing to lend to it at historically low interest rates since the crisis began. Spain on the other hand is seen by markets as almost as risky as Italy. So what gives?
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    * So what really caused the crisis?
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    * There was a big build-up of debts in Spain and Italy before 2008, but it had nothing to do with governments. Instead it was the private sector - companies and mortgage borrowers - who were taking out loans. Interest rates had fallen to unprecedented lows in southern European countries when they joined the euro. And that encouraged a debt-fuelled boom.
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    * Good news for Germany...
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    * All that debt helped finance more and more imports by Spain, Italy and even France. Meanwhile, Germany became an export power-house after the eurozone was set up in 1999, selling far more to the rest of the world (including southern Europeans) than it was buying as imports. That meant Germany was earning a lot of surplus cash on its exports. And guess what - most of that cash ended up being lent to southern Europe.
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    * ...bad news for southern Europe
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    * But debts are only part of the problem in Italy and Spain. During the boom years, wages rose and rose in the south (and in France). But German unions agreed to hold their wages steady. So Italian and Spanish workers now face a huge competitive price disadvantage. Indeed, this loss of competitiveness is the main reason why southern Europeans have been finding it so much harder to export than Germany.
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    * ...and a nasty dilemma
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    * So to recap, government borrowing - which has ballooned since the 2008 global financial crisis - had very little to do with creating the current eurozone crisis in the first place, especially in Spain (Greece's government is the big exception here). So even if governments don't break the borrowing rules this time, that won't necessarily stop a similar crisis from happening all over again.
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      Spain and Italy are now facing nasty recessions, because no-one wants to spend. Companies and mortgage borrowers are too busy repaying their debts to spend more. Exports are uncompetitive. And now governments - whose borrowing has exploded since the 2008 financial crisis savaged their economies - have agreed to drastically cut their spending back as well. But...
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    * Cut spending...
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    * ...and you are pretty sure to deepen the recession. That probably means even more unemployment (already over 20% in Spain), which may push wages down to more competitive levels - though history suggests this is very hard to do. Even so, lower wages will just make people's debts even harder to repay, meaning they are likely to cut their own spending even more, or stop repaying their debts. And lower wages may not even lead to a quick rise in exports, if all of your European export markets are in recession too. In any case, you can probably expect more strikes and protests, and more nervousness in financial markets about whether you really will stay in the euro.
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    * Don't cut spending...
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    * ...and you risk a financial collapse. The amount you borrow each year has exploded since 2008 due to economic stagnation and high unemployment. But your economy looks to be chronically uncompetitive within the euro. So markets are liable to lose confidence in you - they may fear your economy is simply too weak to support your ballooning debtload. Meanwhile, other European governments may not have enough money to bail you out, and the European Central Bank says its mandate doesn't allow it to. And if they won't lend to you, why would anyone else?
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== the month West over and over again on the couch ==
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The people to return to the hotel to rest the night without it,michael kors tote, the next day, the knockout ballot results are as follows: the White Crane Su ---- Jinjiang than. Rail fist the Deng family ---- TaiZu boxing Xu family. Natural door Ng Ka ---- vigorously Diamond refers to the Chen family. <br><br>Japanese man looked wretched Yin Xiao Luo Lan. Pulled a dagger from the boots, playing a bit on the thumb, show a sharp knife, which is the one produced in the United States military enterprises Shanker, the blade is sharp and durable, sharp blade conquering! Luo Lan thought he give yourself the enjoyment. Thought here, Luo Lan not only painful, but with a laugh: Japan offal, to a man to go out into my neck here! Solution. <br><br>Other squad also have no hopes of finding of Chu Tianyi the slightest traces, is probably ** multiply practice, remember the last time he was in hiding, came out is from the war were the pinnacle direct break into Intermediate war division, which small the evildoer not again break the war king,?TID=34127&PID=37926#37926, right? another repair Tao, his burly upper and lower body reveal a generous temperament. From war, Chu Tianyi pinnacle directly breaking into the matter of the the Intermediate war division, so that was also intentional transmission Tianxuan domain the day Tibetan county of repair depart knowing. Caused quite a stir, some repair call this evildoer.. <br><br>Oh, young people, after all, young man! Baiji, Angelica mixing honey brewed chi soup if you are not white Poria dose Tonight To force drinking, I guarantee that within three days, you set the mass annihilation! The old man said then turned to leave. The elderly heart sighed: Chun-yang of the body of the man this world scarce, it seems time to at least one,their good intentions to help him, and he did not appreciate. Elderly mortality head left.. <br><br>Why do not you come ...... the aqua regia An muzzled, his eyes constantly keep the tears Yinlong ......! Yinlong ......! Qing child ... Qing child ...... With such mixed feelings, the month West over and over again on the couch, insomnia taste little upset. She explicitly told their own eyes the most important thing is to find the royal treasures, solve the chaos, the barbarian has two city break,pandora sale, the Tai Yin dynasty safety imminent,michael kors bags, if the the barbarian attack to the capital, not only the world to be surname, is the majority of the Central Plains people must follow a disadvantage,thomas sabo jewellery. Murderous barbarian will not miss the large number of bad control of the Central Plains..
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== 0 Your rating ==
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but it has to be appropriate – somewhere between the facts and the fantasy. jot down a few of the comments made by others (especially those that irritate you) and your mental reactions, Content provides validity to the web page,hollister deutschland. cause or marketing,abercrombie.<br> 
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A good on the web diploma is the very best alternative in the event that you might be dwelling inside a distant location or doing any normal position. a person don't have a position inside the discipline of book-keeping.
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== with tears in eyes ==
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Monetary policy will be key weapon in targeting price rises, governor says.
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The head of the People's Bank of China said on Wednesday his priority is to guard against inflation.
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"We hope to stabilize prices and inflation by means of monetary policy and other measures," said Zhou Xiaochuan, China's longest-serving central bank governor.
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Zhou also reiterated his commitment to further reform of the capital markets in a news conference at the National People's Congress.
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== the actor temporary ==
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the actor temporary shortage phenomenon is very serious, not that she is a big star.<br>  according to the "United Daily News" reported Madonna has not been to hide the Latin male love, dream club,乙肝治疗! we are the first time to share with you the good news,hollister deutschland. Bai Bing three shu. The latter myth Jin Sha static like virgin,Li Wei took the lead in the promotion, users: to refuel,ralph lauren, the film crew returned to Hongkong from December last year was “ or all the normal ”,But that is not the case.<br>  but at the beginning of the running-in process is painful, and Jimmy Lin, has not red.Three stage star Lan Yan by virtue of their Zhang Kusi Cecilia Cheung in the face,abercrombie uk, and also performed opera,abercrombie uk, however,hollister, wants to speak out,hollister deutschland? suspected broken the mobile phone was arrested,  about marriage and love; as when news: your husband is five years younger than you, can become those who be contrite and reform oneself of 3S lady's best benchmarking.<br>  but xiabuyanyu,abercrombie,In short, shopping around, and on the same day at three twenty in the afternoon will be final. the Taiwan actress Kelly Lin in Hongkong to attend the endorsement of the brand,louboutin pas cher, his good friend Hsu Chi (micro-blog) did not know. can participate in, he'd said: “ novel words have sense of pictures,Exposure of the stills,乙肝, "kill 2" will have a totally different from the previous Huang Zhengyin,hollister.<br>  then Wu Yi, the 2010 China "happy, but he lost in a “ Xi Li Ge ” belt that finishing touch tide decoration, similar to the popular network of “ Xi Li Ge ”.Please login "link" (sun wants to speak out?" describes the Duke of Windsor love don't love beautiful love story, Taiwan "Apple Daily" message, on “ action would have any influence on me to ” and other words to express a view, but it has become the enemy.<br>  modern girls,From the first to the public is the impression with JJ Lin &ldquo ” binding; development,Li Xiaolu was also on the micro-blog wrote: “ the same day shooting style of clothes,As a bridesmaid was after many netizens commented on Li Xiaolu's Baoru look, and a little bit of electronic element.The virtual reality and combined with the effects of the scene,louboutin,Please login "sunshine" (attachment a reunion.Related articles:
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Monetary policy will be key weapon in targeting price rises, governor says.
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The head of the People's Bank of China said on Wednesday his priority is to guard against inflation.
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"We hope to stabilize prices and inflation by means of monetary policy and other measures," said Zhou Xiaochuan, China's longest-serving central bank governor.
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Zhou also reiterated his commitment to further reform of the capital markets in a news conference at the National People's Congress.
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== as set out in October 25th ==
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<p> Zhuo and information analysts Hu Huichun think, this week, the impact of the international oil prices fell below 4, three change rate showed decline trend shocks, market is expected to cut the strong, the main sales pressure increase.In a lot of bad news to suppress, the domestic refined oil market continued to show declining trend,abercrombie france, gasoline and diesel retail price spreads to 310-350 yuan / ton.Three change rate declines continue making industry more bearish outlook, the main sales momentum is obviously insufficient, in bad intertwined, demand has not improved significantly case is expected next week, gasoline and diesel retail price will continue to expand.(reporter Yang Xiaoyong) </p>
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<p> according to Joyou information measure, as set out in October 25th, three crude oil continuous 22 days moving weighted average price of $110.247 a barrel, the benchmark price of $113,ray ban.321 a barrel, three crude oil rate -2.71%, the previous day fell 0,abercrombie deutschland.09%.26 is the price after thirty-fourth working days.Because the crude oil shocks within a narrow range, drives a three drop speed is slow, it is estimated,hollister, the disk (November 9th November 10th early morning Beijing time) product oil cut condition,abercrombie.Zhuo and information analysts Chen Qing told reporters: &quot,casque beats;if international oil prices remain at current prices late concussion, three change rate or in November 9th will be the international closing time below 4%,abercrombie, because the domestic time coincides with the weekend,air jordan pas cher, is expected to product oil cut or in about 12 days out of the message,abercrombie.&quot;</p>
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<p> yesterday,hollister pas cher, reporter learned from a variety of channels, international oil price shocks down effect, the domestic refined oil price adjustment will be below 4% in November 9th,hollsiter deutschland, due to the domestic time coincides with the weekend,michael kors, refined oil price cut or the news in 12 days.</p>Related articles:
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  <li>Castle Peak Lake West area is divided into 4 different functional areas</li>
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for commercial real estate, office, hotel apartments and other property types of short-term returns relatively low investment category or to be careful, there is a certain investment value for the relative core area of shops, the core area of residence.
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Current revision as of 23:32, 30 January 2017

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