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+ | == Qu'est-ce dont la citronnelle | ||
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Revision as of 17:55, 14 March 2013
What really caused the eurozone crisis?
World leaders probably spent more time worrying about the eurozone crisis than anything else in 2011.
And that was in the year that featured the Arab Spring, the Japanese tsunami and the death of Osama Bin Laden. What's more, 2012 looks set to be not much different. But as eurozone governments hammer out new rules to limit their borrowing, are they missing the point of the crisis?
* The eurozone has agreed a new "fiscal compact" * Eurozone leaders have agreed to a tough set of rules - insisted on by Germany - that will limit their governments' "structural" borrowing (that is, excluding any extra borrowing due to a recession) to just 0.5% of their economies' output each year. It will also limit their total borrowing to 3%. These rules are supposed to stop them accumulating too much debt, and make sure there won't be another financial crisis. * But didn't they already agree to this back in the '90s? * Hang on a minute. They agreed to exactly the same 3% borrowing limit back in 1997, when the euro was being set up. The "stability and growth pact" was insisted on by German finance minister Theo Waigel (centre of image). What happened? * So who kept to the rules? * Italy was the worst offender. It regularly broke the 3% annual borrowing limit. But actually Germany - along with Italy - was the first big country to break the 3% rule. After that, France followed. Of the big economies, only Spain kept its nose clean until the 2008 financial crisis; the Madrid government stayed within the 3% limit every year from the euro's creation in 1999 until 2007. Not only that - of the four, Spain's government also has the smallest debts relative to the size of its economy. Greece, by the way, is in a class of its own. It never stuck to the 3% target, but manipulated its borrowing statistics to look good, which allowed it to get into the euro in the first place. Its waywardness was uncovered two years ago. * 3/9 Italy Worst offender * 5/9 Germany First to break rules * 6/9 France Offender * 9/9 Spain Top of the Class * But the markets have other ideas * So surely Germany, France and Italy should be in trouble with all that reckless borrowing, while Spain should be reaping the rewards of its virtue? Well, no. Actually Germany is the "safe haven" - markets have been willing to lend to it at historically low interest rates since the crisis began. Spain on the other hand is seen by markets as almost as risky as Italy. So what gives? * So what really caused the crisis? * There was a big build-up of debts in Spain and Italy before 2008, but it had nothing to do with governments. Instead it was the private sector - companies and mortgage borrowers - who were taking out loans. Interest rates had fallen to unprecedented lows in southern European countries when they joined the euro. And that encouraged a debt-fuelled boom. * Good news for Germany... * All that debt helped finance more and more imports by Spain, Italy and even France. Meanwhile, Germany became an export power-house after the eurozone was set up in 1999, selling far more to the rest of the world (including southern Europeans) than it was buying as imports. That meant Germany was earning a lot of surplus cash on its exports. And guess what - most of that cash ended up being lent to southern Europe. * ...bad news for southern Europe * But debts are only part of the problem in Italy and Spain. During the boom years, wages rose and rose in the south (and in France). But German unions agreed to hold their wages steady. So Italian and Spanish workers now face a huge competitive price disadvantage. Indeed, this loss of competitiveness is the main reason why southern Europeans have been finding it so much harder to export than Germany. * ...and a nasty dilemma * So to recap, government borrowing - which has ballooned since the 2008 global financial crisis - had very little to do with creating the current eurozone crisis in the first place, especially in Spain (Greece's government is the big exception here). So even if governments don't break the borrowing rules this time, that won't necessarily stop a similar crisis from happening all over again.
Spain and Italy are now facing nasty recessions, because no-one wants to spend. Companies and mortgage borrowers are too busy repaying their debts to spend more. Exports are uncompetitive. And now governments - whose borrowing has exploded since the 2008 financial crisis savaged their economies - have agreed to drastically cut their spending back as well. But... * Cut spending... * ...and you are pretty sure to deepen the recession. That probably means even more unemployment (already over 20% in Spain), which may push wages down to more competitive levels - though history suggests this is very hard to do. Even so, lower wages will just make people's debts even harder to repay, meaning they are likely to cut their own spending even more, or stop repaying their debts. And lower wages may not even lead to a quick rise in exports, if all of your European export markets are in recession too. In any case, you can probably expect more strikes and protests, and more nervousness in financial markets about whether you really will stay in the euro. * Don't cut spending... * ...and you risk a financial collapse. The amount you borrow each year has exploded since 2008 due to economic stagnation and high unemployment. But your economy looks to be chronically uncompetitive within the euro. So markets are liable to lose confidence in you - they may fear your economy is simply too weak to support your ballooning debtload. Meanwhile, other European governments may not have enough money to bail you out, and the European Central Bank says its mandate doesn't allow it to. And if they won't lend to you, why would anyone else?
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um eine ordnungsgemäße Wahlen als Zeuge eine Farce
und ebenfalls Duckworth Lewis
Wurde Paul Collingwood Recht nach fragen, Dies Ziel bei West Indies durch internet branchenbuch Duckworth Lewis Method eingestellt? Ich glaube, er hatte Recht, versus es war enttäuschend, dass Frank Duckworth seine Bedenken zurückgewiesen so leicht. Statistiker, gleichwohl ich arbeite mit vielen, ihre bevorzugten Methoden, musst aber branchen-buch besten Statistiker immer akzeptieren, dass jede Methode ihre Mängel hat. Zeigen Die versicherung abgesichert . mir partner Statistiker, deren erste Antwort auf eine statistische Frage erscheint "es hängt. . . " versus ich werde Ihnen zeigen, einen Statistiker mit Weisheit.
Hier erscheint von Grund Collingwood hat drei Argumente zu seinen Gunsten:
1 Diese statistische Argument: Ihre höhere Anzahl welcher Datenpunkte zur Verfügung, desto zuverlässiger eine statistische Schätzung. Mit nur 14 Bälle durch England gerollt, bevor von regen einsetzte, war verzeichnis Probe zu klein, um verlässliche Schätzung typ Flugbahn von West Indian Innings. Duckworth Dieses Argument, dass diese vierzehn Kugeln Jenes Ziel vorgegeben macht jene Ungeeignetheit welcher Duckworth Lewis Method, wenn nur der kleiner Teil eines Innings, rund 10% in diesem Fall abgeschlossen wurde. Unter diesen Umständen gibt es keine ausreichenden Daten Punkte (Kugeln gerollt) bei vernünftiger Betrachtung vorherzusehen alle Flugbahn eines Innings.
1 fairer Ansatz wäre, eine minimale Anzahl von Übernahmen setzen, bevor Wickets verloren berücksichtigt werden. Zum Beispiel, wenn eine perfekte minimale Anzahl betreffend Übernahmen inside T20 waren 5 overs (dh 25% welcher Innings abgeschlossen), hatte verzeichnis Pforten West Indies in diesen 14 Bälle verloren wäre irrelevant. Branchenverzeichnis Zielvorgabe würde davon ausgehen, dass keine Bälle waren überwältigt. Typ West Indian Ziel sollte dann höher gewesen. Sofort nach 5 overs, ebenso wie erst unmiitelbar nach 5 overs, internet branchenbuch läuft schon erzielt ebenso wie Pforten schon verloren hätte berücksichtigt werden. Eine geeignete minimale Anzahl in Übernahmen könnte inside einer Tat 8 oder 10 Übernahmen sein.
Verzeichnis Alternative wäre, internet branchenbuch Gewichtung zugunsten des seitlichen Watte ersten erhöhen unter diesen Umständen.
2 Kerl Geist des Cricket Argument: Wer Cricket gespielt hat auf jeder Ebene weiß, dass es viel einfacher zu punkten rund zehn wird läuft der über für 6 overs, als es z. hd. 20 Overs erscheint, vornehmlich, wenn 10 Wickets within beiden Situationen werden. Es erscheint falsch, Duckworth sonst schlage. Wenn Der Ziel durch welche Duckworth Lewis Method falsch eingestellt wie auch gegen den Geist des Spiels fühlt, dann eine gute Zahlen im bereich einem stastical analytics Paket geworfen werden irrelevant.
3 Verzeichnis Aufsichtsbehörde Argument: Typ Druck zu händen einen Beschluss kerl Duckworth Lewis Method wird durch Grenzen Spielzeiten erstellt. Within großen T20 Turniere, oft inszeniert within Einrichtungen mit Flutlicht, scheinen diese Regelungen absurd. Eine halbe Stunde zusätzliche Spiel wirkt eindeutig unzureichend. Jene Möglichkeit, eine zusätzliche Stunde, zumindest, wird unerlässlich. Ich bin zuversichtlich, branchen-buch meisten specatators lieber eine Stunde oder so nach bleiben, um eine ordnungsgemäße Wahlen als Zeuge eine Farce, deine diese früher auf grundlage Hause erhalten erleben beobachten.
Ich glaube, Dieser zirkus ICC muss handeln und ausserdem zu überdenken, diese Anwendung dieser Duckworth Lewis Method inside T20 Cricket. Das uns geschah sofort nach England zu Beginn dieser Woche war unfair aus mehreren Gründen. Collingwood hatte ne beziehung Punkt hatte Duckworth eine Vera Moment.
Anmerkung: Ich bearbeitet diesen Artikel am 6. Mai um alle Frage, was derzeit als wenn eine revidierte Ziel gesetzt klären. Duckworth Lewis berücksichtigt branchen-buch Übernahmen verloren und ebenfalls verzeichnis Pforten zum Zeitpunkt einer Unterbrechung verloren und nicht deine erzielten Runs - Ihr erscheint eine ganz andere Frage eines möglichen Ungerechtigkeiten (dank Cricinfo der S Rajesh zur Klärung dieses Punktes).
Ich denke leider hinein Pakistan Kader nicht einen einziger Spieler rein seiner besten Form. Als Salman wirkt jedoch besorgt darüber hat er gut gemacht, jedoch keine angst haben er hat nicht internet branchenbuch Fähigkeit, Welches Spiel rein einer heroischen Art sowohl Weise zu beenden. Welche Dynamik, verzeichnis notwendig werden zu händen dieses Format des Spiels erscheint nicht within Pak Spieler wurden dieses Mal entwickelt. Ihre Körpersprache war sehr negativ. Es wird nicht eine schlechte Sache nach verlieren Ihr persönliches Spiel, wenn Auch andere es nach hartem Kampf verloren haben. Obwohl diese Sache sein können klein, musst aber auch wer sind notwendig z . hd . das Team z. hd. ihre langfristigen Ziele. Ich denke, Pak Spieler sollte immer positiv sein und ausserdem sie persönlich sollten eine positive Spiel zu spielen. Statt Bedauern über fehlende Kern-Player, sollte die pak Team-Management oder Team an den verfügbaren bestimmten Spielern konzentriert haben ebenso wie mit ihnen nach Recht. Sofern alle Korruption dort sein wird pak Cricket-Team, werden auch wer nie werde zeigen, etwas Besonderes mit Konsistenz. Jedoch keine angst haben darin liegt Stress eigentliche Problem. Wir würden nie eine perfekte Lösung für das Spiel, Ihr bezüglich schlechtem Wetter unterbrochen wird, vornehmlich in dieser verkürzten Format. Es wird immer, ich empahasize immer Kritiker, was wird an Ort oder Stelle sein. Dies ist uns ist ok z . hd . gute Gans ist ideal für den Gänserich. Paul Colinwood sollte nur saugen sie auf sowie ziehen weiter. Ich habe Ihr persönliches Gefühl, wenn welcher Schuh auf dem anderen Fuß, würden wir nicht gehört, jeder jammern z. hd. welche Longchamp Taschen England Lager haben.
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Es erscheint 1 besonderes Merkmal der luxuriösen Palazzo Hedone in dem Süden Siziliens. Nun auch sie müssen z. hd. der bisschen mehr Jamie Oliver, das weiterkommen bisschen weniger King Alfred gewünscht hätte.
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Unser Lieblingsplatz war Noto, eine Stadt durch bröckelnden barocke Paläste gleichwohl Kirchen geprägt. Der prächtige Dom hat große Restaurierung, nicht zuletzt erfahren, weil seine berühmte Kuppel eingestürzt in dem fach Jahr 1996.
Siracusa, mit seiner faszinierenden Altstadt betreffend Ortygia, verfügt über gute prächtig erhaltene Parco Archeologico, das weiterkommen Fünftel Jahrhundert v. Chr. Theater, wo antike griechische Dramen noch in der sparte Sommer durchgeführt werden. Die Stücke werden 1 wunderbares Schauspiel, auch wenn, wie wir, Diese nicht verstehen, kann das weiterkommen Louis Vuitton Taschen Wort internet branchenbuch Schauspieler sagen.
Wir verbrachten zwei Nächte auf der anderen Seite einer Insel inside Villa Il Cappero. Inmitten welcher majestätischen Madonie Berge, es ist nur eine Autostunde bezüglich Siziliens Hauptstadt Palermo sowie verfügt über Gärten mit Schwimmbad, reife Oliven sowohl mediterranen Pflanzen. Branchen-buch Gastgeber waren ein Genuss.
Palermo ist eine Herausforderung - besonders an einem Sonntag inside von regen. Auch diese Kirchen wurden während welcher sizilianischen Sonntag Siesta geschlossen. Sie selbst sind groß auf St George hinein Palermo, obwohl internet branchenbuch Kathedrale Statue in St George sah eher wie diese Arbeit des Innenarchitekten Laurence Llewelyn-Bowen als 1 furchtloser Drachentöter.
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Wow-Faktor: Von Palazzo Hedone bietet wahren Luxus am Ende typ italien
Eine von Leichen war so beängstigend, ich fürchtete seinen Augen würde jeden Moment öffnen, seine dürren Hände falten mich rein einer tödlichen Umarmung.
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Zurück rein authentisches, charmantes Scicli gibt es nicht das englisches Pub, Curry Haus oder chinesisches Essen zum Mitnehmen überall. Es wird historische Sizilien wegen seiner besten Seite - wenn vergessen Shopping - mit wunderschönen Kirchen, Bars zudem Restaurants, wo Die pizza z. hd. zwei essen, mit Wein, bei unter 40 Pfund.
Die promotion Sprachführer wirkt unerlässlich. Entschuldige "prego" - italienisch z. hd. "Du bist willkommen" unter anderem bekommt man nen freund langen Weg.
Als wir gingen Palazzo Hedone, Barbara Broccoli, alle Produzenten jener James-Bond-Filmen, war anreisen. Wir hingen herum, um ne beziehung Blick nach Louis Vuitton haben. Lucky Lady hier übernachtet haben - besonders, wenn meine Pasta Palermo war der Speisekarte.
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Kesha originated at the Electronics industries Express for Las Vegas with the instant month in a row since the unique producer among Polaroid. However, this current year, Coo showed off supplements your sweetheart made it easier for development which are going to sales this present year.
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The very talk about of your a variety of objects had applause and many yelps from being a herd associated with a some lot of waiting on Polaroid unit -- something of a rarity to CES, where exactly the majority media folks wear clap a large amount of. But then, Coo serves as a superstar and not simply a median hardware professional.
Any eyewear, termed as a Polarez GL20, therefore the photographic camera, referred to as the Polaroid GL30, actually are prototypes, Crazy mentioned, but the two of them definitely will arrive in vendors around vacation Year 2011. Simply no quotes continues to be seeking often the specs and the video camera.
The main Polaprinter GL10, but nevertheless, is actually a retail-ready product Cheap Oakley and will whack outlets inside May concerning $149.99, described Katie Linendoll, a very Polaroid spokeswoman.
stated the very shades seemed to be driven with a couple necessities he prepared with iPod paths for the conjunction. Equally One particular.7-inch OLED coomputer sceens with the glasses stay in this article an end user eye lids and consequently towards you, now the artwork is obvious by the cups of water even though not in the individual.
The exact mini headphones across the glasses or contact lenses apartment a real Hardware travel where photographs ingested through a compact surveillance camera looking at the eyeglasses nosepiece can be shielded.
The main GL30 video camera has got a computer monitor on face value so that photos can be seen before being personalized, a component not really located on the Polaroids in history, and also the power to come in contact with just about every other picture-taking machine as a result of Wireless bluetooth to assist you to produce illustrations or photos off their goods.
The cabability to easily share photographs at a cell phone or just oral treatment, thru Wireless bluetooth, is truly a highlight this making its very own procedure to their mobile phone devices printing machine.
Telling a photo making use of GL10 printer manual, and then impress it all implementing ink-free innovation, carries Discount Oakley just about 48 little time. The particular lazer printer as well be capable to connect various spy cameras as well as machines thru Thumb.
When your GL10 warships, a good Android practical application will probably be readily available that may sync gizmos to the tattoo and then add more county and therefore separate photos earlier art print.
Polaroid laser printer mobile apps to make the Iphone 4, Phones not to mention Windows Contact models are going to land down the line this holiday season, Linendoll suggested.
This GL30 webcam, a bit too, might use mobile phones mobile apps to modify pictures it also photos, but such plans might not work as identical to the exact games relating to the laser printer, he said, adding more which a common accepted phone sites can be escorted.
Affiliated:
CES: Find video because of Looxcie, after that teach it again relating to
CES: The sony laptops adding 3-D regarding pcs as well as photograph together with cameras
-- Nathan Olivarez-Giles
Finest picture: Gaga sends a photograph provided by his Bb iphone towards Polaroid Polaprinter GL10 this lady healed build, retained by just Polaroid Chairman Bobby Sager, inside the Electronics Confirm located in Nevada. Credit: Nathan Olivarez-Giles Or Irvine Occasions.
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